People with a good vocabulary who make the most of the information available in the first two guesses should probably score more 3s than 4s, especially if they have been playing for a while and can remember quite a few of the words that have already gone. I, too, had concluded the Streak was the number of consecutive days of wins, and if you failed to play for a day, your streak would end. Only Wordle can provide accurate stats. Other than these scenarios, Ill probably play a letter-reducing word to reduce the possible letter combinations. Wordle doesnt have an official leaderboard at the moment. No-one, over the course of several days will get it in two repeatedly. How Does it Work? Unless I get lucky and hit three or more letters on the first guess. the sortest time (as with Paul) Its not just the letters you choose in your guess; its also the order of the letters that give bang for the buck. Isnt a streak a series of consecutive wins? In my 25 games, I have totaled 93 total points for a 3.72 average. 1: 1%2: 5%3: 28%4: 38%5: 20%6: 7%X: 1%#Wordle218, Wordle Stats (@WordleStats) January 24, 2022. Its blind luck. Back in April Jon referenced 2309 potential solutions and 12,972 acceptable words to seek those solutions. Definitely skews the data. Cookie Notice .s5ap8yh1b4ZfwxvHizW3f{color:var(--newCommunityTheme-metaText);padding-top:5px}.s5ap8yh1b4ZfwxvHizW3f._19JhaP1slDQqu2XgT3vVS0{color:#ea0027} Only the first guess is amenable to this sort of classical probability calculation unfortunately. Id even go so far as to have the Win % be measured as games started but not completed in 6 guesses, so the incompletes are treated as losses. If it shows more numbers in 2 guesses, youre in the top 5 percentile among the Wordle players. And whos to say which AIm is right? Regarding probability, you cant really measure it cuz your first guess could be chockful of good letters or it could be kayak. I have five sets of three words, using the u/y in the third word, but rarely needing to use the third word at all. Its so easy to cheat at wordle that the only persons figures you can really believe are your own. #Wordle 218 2022-01-23269,929 results found on Twitter.7,630 hard mode players. cmon. Their analysis shows that less than 5% of all players get the word right in 1 or 2 attempts. Just a little more indicative than rounding to the nearest integer! And yes of course it's free. I couldnt believe there existed no ranking tool out there to compare your Wordle stats to others, so I took some (read: way to much) time last week and built one. In general, Australia seems to have a knack for the word game, with four cities from the country making the list of top 10 cities globally. 1/20. ._12xlue8dQ1odPw1J81FIGQ{display:inline-block;vertical-align:middle} As an example, I used to ALWAYS use Royal and Unite as an opening two words, and had an average score of 4.2 (with 14% 3s and 45% 4s). This approach suffers from bias of exclusion. Of course, this is all based on the data accumulated on the scores shared by the Twitter demographic. How to Play Wordle on iPhone or Android as an App, How to Play Wordle Multiplayer With Friends. Worder.ly is available on line and is the real way to play. Use the simple form below to calculate your Wordle average. ._3-SW6hQX6gXK9G4FM74obr{display:inline-block;vertical-align:text-bottom;width:16px;height:16px;font-size:16px;line-height:16px} /*# sourceMappingURL=https://www.redditstatic.com/desktop2x/chunkCSS/TopicLinksContainer.3b33fc17a17cec1345d4_.css.map*/3.8. The wordlestats twitter tool provides lots of data but, as others have noted, suffers from serious sampling error because of the tendency for people to tweet their better scores. It will be a bit higher when it turns out to be a common word of the type many people will choose as their starting word and probably highest of all when Wordle chooses one of the words that have been widely suggested on the net as good starting words. Canberra, Australia, is the global city with the best Wordle score, solving the daily puzzle in an average of 3.58 guesses. There are very few first word results that will really narrow down the choice for the second word to only one choice and not many that even leave it a 50/50 guess even when you get 4 greens a classic example was shake when people got sha_e but still only had a 1 in 5 chance of getting the second guess right. S?A?E. guesses. Some people may not yet have played. For those people, unless they're not really trying very hard, 4 isn't easy so much as normal, because they must be getting quite a few 5's as well. So here is a handy calculator. For example, suppose after 3 guesses you have sta_e, and your 3 guesses have eliminated stare and state as solutions. I agree. There's only one new word per day and players have a maximum of six guesses to figure it out. Weird they didnt point that out. Press question mark to learn the rest of the keyboard shortcuts. Youre then left with stage, stake, stale, and stave as potential solutions. Follow up question: That SNOUT train wreck made me 72 out of 73 = 99% (but 98.63% rounded up). My streak is only 71 because in the first month of play I didnt realize that I had to play every day to avoid breaking the streak. Sweden is the world's best country at Wordle, with an average score of 3.72. However, unofficial and relatively small-scale data crunching from Twitter shares of Wordle scores gives significant insight into the number of guesses typically required by players to successfully finish a Wordle challenge. The quickest way to track how many attempts you have been taking to solve Wordles is by checking the Guess Distribution numbers on your Wordle statistics. The actual chance of getting it right first time is about 1 in 2315 so it should be about 0.05%. Simply ask your friends to share theirs, too. In fact, it doesn't matter which of the 2,315 words in the dictionary you choose to use as your initial guess since the probability of success is always 1/2315. It was Shake but the problem is the same with any of the 7 common words that fit that pattern. Smaller sample size, but Im confident the ratio will stay about constant. Average is 3.7. PLEASE CONSIDER UPDATING YOUR ARTICLE TO MAKE THIS CLEAR. Toronto's score also fails to come close to the 10th-ranked city in the U.S. - Nashville, Tenn. - which boasts an average score of 3.66. Win Turns, Me, Them 1, 0, 0 2, 1, 2 3, 4, 9 4, 12, 8 5, 5, 9 6, 2, 6 And the . When calculating GPA, credits and coursework are usually not taken into account. If you think about starter Shape, solution Lowly there are going to be hundreds of possible second guesses essentially every 5 letter word without the letters SHAPE, b) The average score for a given starting word gives the overall probability of the player getting a solution in two using that particular word, c) The average of all the average scores for all starting words is the overall probability of getting it in two with any starting word, Thats how to calculate it you need to download the solution list to write a program to do it and Ive resisted doing that because it would risk spoiling my own enjoyment. Im old, but not THAT oldam I the only one who wishes the letters on the keyboard were a few pt. ._2FKpII1jz0h6xCAw1kQAvS{background-color:#fff;box-shadow:0 0 0 1px rgba(0,0,0,.1),0 2px 3px 0 rgba(0,0,0,.2);transition:left .15s linear;border-radius:57%;width:57%}._2FKpII1jz0h6xCAw1kQAvS:after{content:"";padding-top:100%;display:block}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2{-ms-flex-align:center;align-items:center;display:-ms-flexbox;display:flex;-ms-flex-pack:start;justify-content:flex-start;background-color:var(--newCommunityTheme-navIconFaded10);border:2px solid transparent;border-radius:100px;cursor:pointer;position:relative;width:35px;transition:border-color .15s linear,background-color .15s linear}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._3kUvbpMbR21zJBboDdBH7D{background-color:var(--newRedditTheme-navIconFaded10)}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._3kUvbpMbR21zJBboDdBH7D._1L5kUnhRYhUJ4TkMbOTKkI{background-color:var(--newRedditTheme-active)}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._3kUvbpMbR21zJBboDdBH7D._1L5kUnhRYhUJ4TkMbOTKkI._3clF3xRMqSWmoBQpXv8U5z{background-color:var(--newRedditTheme-buttonAlpha10)}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._1asGWL2_XadHoBuUlNArOq{border-width:2.25px;height:24px;width:37.5px}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._1asGWL2_XadHoBuUlNArOq ._2FKpII1jz0h6xCAw1kQAvS{height:19.5px;width:19.5px}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._1hku5xiXsbqzLmszstPyR3{border-width:3px;height:32px;width:50px}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._1hku5xiXsbqzLmszstPyR3 ._2FKpII1jz0h6xCAw1kQAvS{height:26px;width:26px}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._10hZCcuqkss2sf5UbBMCSD{border-width:3.75px;height:40px;width:62.5px}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._10hZCcuqkss2sf5UbBMCSD ._2FKpII1jz0h6xCAw1kQAvS{height:32.5px;width:32.5px}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._1fCdbQCDv6tiX242k80-LO{border-width:4.5px;height:48px;width:75px}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._1fCdbQCDv6tiX242k80-LO ._2FKpII1jz0h6xCAw1kQAvS{height:39px;width:39px}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._2Jp5Pv4tgpAsTcnUzTsXgO{border-width:5.25px;height:56px;width:87.5px}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._2Jp5Pv4tgpAsTcnUzTsXgO ._2FKpII1jz0h6xCAw1kQAvS{height:45.5px;width:45.5px}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._1L5kUnhRYhUJ4TkMbOTKkI{-ms-flex-pack:end;justify-content:flex-end;background-color:var(--newCommunityTheme-active)}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._3clF3xRMqSWmoBQpXv8U5z{cursor:default}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._3clF3xRMqSWmoBQpXv8U5z ._2FKpII1jz0h6xCAw1kQAvS{box-shadow:none}._2e2g485kpErHhJQUiyvvC2._1L5kUnhRYhUJ4TkMbOTKkI._3clF3xRMqSWmoBQpXv8U5z{background-color:var(--newCommunityTheme-buttonAlpha10)} By the way, is the average wordle score based on the weighted average of wins only, or does it include games you didnt win? Afterwards, this site will tell you your Wordle average score. I switched strategies, no longer try for two guesses, and always start with two words that use all the vowels and the letter y. I missed a day a few weeks ago, never even turned on my device that daythey allowed my streak to continue. The second time I got lucky with 3 greens on the first round, I went for a different strategy, by first abandoning the 3 correct letters and trying to find words with up to 4 letters of the potential missing letters, e.g P, H, M, L, T, D, V, G, R,C, , e.g. Great writeup. Multiply each row by the number of times you got that score, then add them together and divide that total by number of days solved: ((1 x a) + (2 x b) + (3 x c) + (4 x d) + (5 x e) + (6 x f)) /n, Edit: changed number of days played to number of days solved. Others cheat. Is that right? To help guide the choice of the next guess the simulator scores the compatible words based on their likely suitability. At the bottom of the list were Bangladesh, Kenya and Egypt with 4.24, 4.38 and 4.42 respectively.. ._1x9diBHPBP-hL1JiwUwJ5J{font-size:14px;font-weight:500;line-height:18px;color:#ff585b;padding-left:3px;padding-right:24px}._2B0OHMLKb9TXNdd9g5Ere-,._1xKxnscCn2PjBiXhorZef4{height:16px;padding-right:4px;vertical-align:top}.icon._1LLqoNXrOsaIkMtOuTBmO5{height:20px;vertical-align:middle;padding-right:8px}.QB2Yrr8uihZVRhvwrKuMS{height:18px;padding-right:8px;vertical-align:top}._3w_KK8BUvCMkCPWZVsZQn0{font-size:14px;font-weight:500;line-height:18px;color:var(--newCommunityTheme-actionIcon)}._3w_KK8BUvCMkCPWZVsZQn0 ._1LLqoNXrOsaIkMtOuTBmO5,._3w_KK8BUvCMkCPWZVsZQn0 ._2B0OHMLKb9TXNdd9g5Ere-,._3w_KK8BUvCMkCPWZVsZQn0 ._1xKxnscCn2PjBiXhorZef4,._3w_KK8BUvCMkCPWZVsZQn0 .QB2Yrr8uihZVRhvwrKuMS{fill:var(--newCommunityTheme-actionIcon)} I would have thought that the real measure of success is not how many guesses are required to solve each puzzle but rather the overall percentage achieved. Solving in 1 is virtually blind luck, thereafter luck plays less and less a role with each attempt. Eventually, your son will improve on 6-letter with repetition. Losses are treated as 7 points. (All of those are fair, but of course you dont have to believe me). I dont get the stats in the first example in this article: They say this player has won 100% of her 3 games, but her current streak is 1 and her longest streak is 2. Furthermore, 7-letter even easier, and 3-letter harder than 4-letter. And then there's win rate, which is wins divided by games played. THANK YOU! Privacy Policy. Ignore fails. Of course, sometimes Im wrong about the number of possible remaining words in the solution set! But it says so on the screen, so!!! A further thought I dont think Wordle repeats words, at least not for now, so if you have a good memory for the words you have already solved the pool of possibilities will be decreasing every day and thus improving your chance of getting quick solutions somewhat. I suspect the posters for any particular puzzle have 2-3x better score than average. Give this combination a score of 6. The approximation is how closely your own vocabulary of 5 letter words matches the 2300 or so chosen by Josh as solutions to the puzzle. There is a glitch in the program. Its easy enough to convert those wordlestats numbers into an average score for each word though which gives us an empirical measure of how difficult each word is. Others in my Wordle share group regularly hit 2 included or in place letters on their first word and regularly solve in 3. but overall weight Phil M. True of course, but still very subject to reporting bias and cheating. My guess is that people with significant numbers of second guess hits are either consciously or unconsciously using hints there are enough of them about including one twitter spoilsport I saw who posted the solution for the next days puzzle under the hashtag for todays fortunately I only saw that twitter posting two days later otherwise it would have ruined a days play for me. Maybe they offer a one-day forgiveness period? Not to be a buzzkill but gotta include the # of games you didn't solve so just take the difference between your (total games total games solved) x 7, add that to the total and divide by # of games played. C R A I would like to see Wordle provide (in the summary) the average number of tries for a given word. In response to genius Jon, who I suppose solves Wordle daily in 1 or 2 tries, its not a matter of simply solving in 6 guesses, its what percentage of solves in 1,2,3,4,5,6 guesses. Same me, very different results. when I think my first guess has narrowed the word down to two possible solutions, and I get a bit lucky with a 50/50 Players in Alaska need to step their game up taking an average of 4.22 tries to nail down the daily word. All my guesses were available letters (of course). By my calculations I'm averaging 2.7? Add up the total number of guesses and divide by the number of times you have played the game. Getting it on the second attempt is much harder to calculate the odds for but on average people with a vocabulary of words similar to the wordle dictionary are going to get it more often than 1/2314 (having eliminated one word with the first guess) because in many cases their first guess will have markedly reduced the list of possibles. Not a chance in hell that these stats make sense. That is statistically impossible. I have no answer, but my Streak continues. /*# sourceMappingURL=https://www.redditstatic.com/desktop2x/chunkCSS/IdCard.ea0ac1df4e6491a16d39_.css.map*/._2JU2WQDzn5pAlpxqChbxr7{height:16px;margin-right:8px;width:16px}._3E45je-29yDjfFqFcLCXyH{margin-top:16px}._13YtS_rCnVZG1ns2xaCalg{font-family:Noto Sans,Arial,sans-serif;font-size:14px;font-weight:400;line-height:18px;display:-ms-flexbox;display:flex}._1m5fPZN4q3vKVg9SgU43u2{margin-top:12px}._17A-IdW3j1_fI_pN-8tMV-{display:inline-block;margin-bottom:8px;margin-right:5px}._5MIPBF8A9vXwwXFumpGqY{border-radius:20px;font-size:12px;font-weight:500;letter-spacing:0;line-height:16px;padding:3px 10px;text-transform:none}._5MIPBF8A9vXwwXFumpGqY:focus{outline:unset} What data does Wordle Statistics provide? How to Calculate your Average Wordle Score Use the simple form below to calculate your Wordle average. Pooling a series of 30 or so of these scores gives an average difficulty score of 4.15 tries. I encourage people to check it out when they can. Ive got a ~10% record of getting it in 2 (6/60), so the stats dont seem unreasonable. My average is 4.09. Moving on to todays game, Im proud to announce I hit 2 again! Here's what you should provide on Brian Falkner's Wordle Average Score Calculator! Green Letters Im not sure whether 4/6 letter wordle would be harder or easier the statistics of it is surprisingly complicated. . But Toronto's average score pales in comparison to the top 10 U.S. cities for Wordle. But, Wordle doesnt have a leaderboard. when I think my first guess has narrowed the word down to one possible solution 4 is still excellent but people can skillfully narrow down options in first three attempts and get 4 regularly. So we have about 2300 or so first guess possibilities. Its an interesting statistical problem isnt it. Probably true, and we dont know quite how Josh compiled the solution list but you soon start to learn by experience that there are probably no plurals of 4 letter words (boots) and no rude words (penis). You may have missed a day. As in the data this will be around 3,4 and 5. I disagree that solving in 2 is simply lucky. If your Average is 2 then you are cheating not in the top 8-10%, or even the top 5%. Wordle Average Score Calculator Wordle Average Score Wordle Rack Wordle Rack 2.0 is finally here! Your second choice should have been smack. I've got a spreadsheet tracking my partner and I's wordle scores, tracking an average. Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. Strategy! main 1 branch 0 tags Code ritotn Update README.md e421c9e on Feb 27 3 commits .gitignore Initial commit 3 months ago LICENSE Initial commit 3 months ago README.md Update README.md 3 months ago calculate.py Create calculate.py 3 months ago README.md Jeremy, Im in the same boat (except dont have the source code); eliminated one of my options because it was a solution recently. So at present I would guess that there is about a 2-4% of a second guess hit overall. So the reduced number of opportunities to rule out letters by getting them wrong might be counterbalanced by the smaller pool of solutions.By 5 letters we are up to about 13k words and by 6 letters something like 22-24k. What are the Average Number of Guesses in Wordle? If you miss playing one day your current streak will start over. Using any of these three words will . My stats have 1 recorded on the first try because I already knew the word. On the return, I did both (once on each end), and only got credit for one so the streak ended again. Whoa, did I just jinx myself?! It was posted here four days ago [2]. You will also notice that less people post their scores on the harder games. So if your goal is winning and/or exercising your mind, why would you ever play hard mode? Similar Tools: batting average calculator ; average atomic mass calculator ; average value of a function calculator ; average variable cost calculator Useful, however very wrong at one point. The twitter stats are presumably rounded up so anyone getting it first time will make it appear like 1% even if its only one out of 300k. Most people only post their very best (and sometimes surprising) results (at least the ones who would like to keep their friends). Wordle is not a team sport as it is an opportunity to share a pastime with friends on a level playing field. First, you have to know the total number of people who start the game, then the %who solve it in 1-6 guesse, and, thus, wha % who dont get the word. I use this all the time of late as you can see. Slow down Paul. My guess is the actual stats are more like 0%, 1%, 12%, 30%, 40% 12%, not discovered 4%. Its possible that some optimal starter words might push the figure higher than that if used repeatedly again an interesting calculation. Related: What are the Average Number of Guesses in Wordle? It pays to be retired. Someone I saw the other day had the aim of producing a symmetrical display by the time they had the solution! All the data you glean from Wordle statistics is related to your own progress and streak in the game (as a unit). To use, share from the Wordle page in Safari. If you do always start with the same word then we have to guess whether Joshs algorithm allows the game to pick the same word twice (havent seen it so far). How to Enable Hard Mode in Wordle to Increase Difficulty. You could probably add one more row and multiply failed days by 7 then use N=days played to include them but I dont know how they did it in the article. Moreover, would a 4-letter Wordle be easier or harder? The following day I played and my streak continued as though I hadnt missed a day. But in regular mode you are searching for a word that incorporates at least three of potential remaining letters (g,k,l,v) and that in itself requires more strategy than the hard modes simply guessing. So the Twitter analysis is going to heavily bias towards the low end. Press J to jump to the feed. And yes, it is fun to play with your kids. 3 tries 8 Try it here: Wordle Rack If you like playing Wordle, as I do, you may wonder what your average (or median) score is. YUP. I was ignorant as to what was happening and how the game stats worked. No way. By rejecting non-essential cookies, Reddit may still use certain cookies to ensure the proper functionality of our platform. 4 tries 17 The only advantage given by recent history is that we know that wordle does not repeat solutions so you can mentally eliminate as many words as you can remember as a first guess, and also as a second guess solution. Wordle ability was judged on the average number of attempts it took each country's players to guess the correct answer. The equation is percentage played. EVEN IF YOUVE NEVER LOST A GAME OF WORDLE, YOU STREAK RESTS WHEN YOU MISS A DAY PLAYING. My question is . With that data, I reviewed every letter permutation and came up with 3 possible solutions: 1 skateboard trick that youd only know if you skateboarded or did crossword puzzles; one noun that is nearly always used as a 6-letter plural; and finally a vegetable. Crank, crack, cramp, crazy, NOPE! ._2Gt13AX94UlLxkluAMsZqP{background-position:50%;background-repeat:no-repeat;background-size:contain;position:relative;display:inline-block} @keyframes ibDwUVR1CAykturOgqOS5{0%{transform:rotate(0deg)}to{transform:rotate(1turn)}}._3LwT7hgGcSjmJ7ng7drAuq{--sizePx:0;font-size:4px;position:relative;text-indent:-9999em;border-radius:50%;border:4px solid var(--newCommunityTheme-bodyTextAlpha20);border-left-color:var(--newCommunityTheme-body);transform:translateZ(0);animation:ibDwUVR1CAykturOgqOS5 1.1s linear infinite}._3LwT7hgGcSjmJ7ng7drAuq,._3LwT7hgGcSjmJ7ng7drAuq:after{width:var(--sizePx);height:var(--sizePx)}._3LwT7hgGcSjmJ7ng7drAuq:after{border-radius:50%}._3LwT7hgGcSjmJ7ng7drAuq._2qr28EeyPvBWAsPKl-KuWN{margin:0 auto} 1 x a 2 x b 3 x c 4 x d. The remaining 20 of people become the source of . PLAYED WIN% CURRENT STREAK MAX STREAK (useless), how about: PLAYED WIN% INCOMPLETE (for games started but not finished a dose of TRUTH!). I tally my total points, divide by number of games played and then try a bit harder to bring that average down, slowly it seems. It would be irritating for someone to post that they have a 100% win rate, but omit that they bailed out of 15% of their games. By accepting all cookies, you agree to our use of cookies to deliver and maintain our services and site, improve the quality of Reddit, personalize Reddit content and advertising, and measure the effectiveness of advertising. Wordle2 (6-letter Wordle) is easier to solve. I have a sneaking suspicion that Josh took a list of every 5 letter word from a standard dictionary and hand picked the ones he was going to include as those that he recognised and didnt want to exclude for the above reasons, so that you are effectively matching your vocabulary against his. If, on the other hand, you're simply trying to win within the allotted six guesses, the top three words to play are "adept," "clamp" and "plaid.". I aver that Wordle 4-Letter would be MORE DIFFICULT than 5-Letter. I have been beating my head against the wall to figure out why my 100% isnt in my streak and you have provided the explanation! My stats are 0 1 10 17 5 4. I try to finish within one minute, and the majority of time, I can do it. Total: Your GPA in four subjects is 2.84. Please do not announce the answer to todays puzzle. I have a significantly better average on Wordle2 than Wordle, so maybe 6, at least for some people, is easier. [I might have previously argued stave is the least common among the 4, so choose that last. My Wordle stats: I played the Wordle on my phone on the mobile site and got the word in 3 or 4 tries. 3 tries 17 Quite right. Love the challenge, enjoy the exercise. If you repeat this exercise for every possible starter/solution pair you will arrive at three things: a) it will be apparent which is the best starting word if you want to solve in two it is the starting word where the sum of the scores for all 2300 solution words is the least. ._3bX7W3J0lU78fp7cayvNxx{max-width:208px;text-align:center} Oh my GOD it was so frustrating trying to chase down this simple fact. Wordle in under a minute?! How many days in a row have I played? Moreover, who wants to see how addicted they are?! UMBER-5 This equates to your total attempts A, divided by the total games played N : Average = A/N. No chance of finishing in 3 but a much higher chance of finishing in 4. Youve taken methamphetamine 128 days in a row. Who has the best average? Your plea to update this article leads to a series of questions I have: I did an international trip across the date line my streak ended when gong east even though I did the puzzle early in the day. Actually if you know something about the code underlying wordle you can estimate the probability of getting it in two if you make one approximation. Heres my raw numbers: 0, 6, 50, 70, 28, 6, and the one miss. Posted results are skewed. Wordle Average Score Calculator For those people unless theyre not.. 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