In Hong Kong, public distribution. 100, Songren Rd., Xinyi Dist., Taipei City 110, Taiwan. This Website is for your personal use. Members of The Conference Board get exclusive access to the full range of products and services that deliver Trusted Insights for What's AheadTM including webcasts, publications, data and analysis, plus discounts to conferences and events. He will hope that economic recovery and the taming of COVID-19 will revive his fortunes and so spare him the midterm Congressional reverses that are common for a sitting president. It is notable that their counterparts in larger economies such as Brazil, Russia and South Korea have already started to tighten. Bolsonaros hopes rest partly on centre-right parties not coalescing around a single candidate.RussiaRussia, by contrast, will not be troubled by questions over who will be president. The start of monetary tightening in the US could cause an increase in borrowing costs for emerging markets. Although the world is still struggling to emerge . Lula will visit Biden in Washington DC (US). /Group << >> Registered office Amstelplein 1, 1096 HA, Amsterdam, Tel: 020 549 5200, Tel: 31-20-549-5200. Backgrounders - December 5, 2022. No information on this Website constitutes business, financial, investment, trading, tax, legal, regulatory, accounting or any other advice. Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors of G20 members will gather in Bengaluru (India) to discuss global financial issues, including energy prices and inflation rates. If Republicans win either chamber of the US Congress, President Biden will likely be operating under a divided government for the next two years, making it difficult to enact legislation without bipartisan support. Continued pressure on Taiwan, expansionist moves in East Asia and internal pressure on corporations to support the government's "common prosperity" goal will certainly have spillover impacts on corporate supply chains serving these markets. G20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors will meet for the 2. Yet beyond 2022, this will potentially store up troubles. >> Save. We reserve the right to change, modify, add, or delete, any content and the terms of use of this Website without notice. This material may contain estimates and forward-looking statements, which may include forecasts and do not represent a guarantee of future performance. Rising US interest rates could complicate the task of rolling over this short term debt and also push up the cost of servicing debt through local currency depreciation. I am passionate about drawing actionable geopolitical insights from all-source data and communicating them to key stakeholders innovatively, forewarning them of risks and informing them of opportunities.<br><br>To this end, I have honed my research and analysis skills by writing extensively on geopolitics and . The desire to prevent Ukraine falling into NATOs orbit remains as strong as ever in Moscow. 17068311 For your protection telephone calls are usually recorded. issued in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) by BlackRock Saudi Arabia (BSA), authorised and regulated by the Capital Market Authority (CMA), License No. /S /Transparency The first Russia-Africa Summit was held in Sochi (Russia) in 2019. /F3 24 0 R Here you can find a 360 view of geopolitical crises, starting with the Russo-Ukrainian war, and insights for whats ahead. /ProcSet [/PDF /Text /ImageB /ImageC /ImageI] The official Los Angeles event calendar is your daily guide to concerts, shows, festivals, theatre, and all the entertainment LA has to offer. AfricaConflict will continue to blight East Africa, with Ethiopia struggling to bring an end to the fighting that began in Tigray but now ranges well beyond it. In Switzerland, this document is marketing material. Montenegro will hold its presidential election. For information on investor rights and how to raise complaints please go to https://www.blackrock.com/corporate/compliance/investor-right available in Italian. With that in mind, here are five lower-profile geopolitically significant events of 2022, and what they may mean moving forward. This Website is not intended for and should not be accessed by persons located or resident in any jurisdiction where (by reason of that person's nationality, domicile, residence or otherwise) the publication or availability of this Website is prohibited or contrary to local law or regulation or would subject any BlackRock entity to any registration or licensing requirements in such jurisdiction. << Eastern Economic Forum is an annual international forum held in Vladivostok (Russia) that aims to encourage investment and economic development in Russias Far East. Note: European Central Bankmeetings shown are those accompanied by press conferences. These are relatively low-cost battlefield weapons that give Pyongyang a greater ability to strike at military bases, depots and staging grounds in South Korea. In January 2022, we halted further purchases of Russian stocks in response to rising risks of sanctions on Russia from the United States and other nations. This months contributors examine three economies seemingly at turning points Argentina, Iran and the Cte dIvoire considering in each case the forces actively inuencing the trade environment and the approach of the nancial Commentators this month focus on support for small businesses, local contractors and risk in Africa - including energy sector and analysis of the Mozambique debt crisis. Further increases in the volume of sovereign debt, at a time of unprecedently low real interest rates, means the servicing burden will be larger still when eventually rates do rise.. Top 10 geopolitical events of 2022 Ukraine-Russia War: On February 24, 2022, Russia invaded the former USSR country to annex its eastern regions and stop it from joining the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO). /F4 64 0 R The commodity-hungry engine of the early 21st century world economy will be less of a motor for global growth next year than in the last two decades. >> /Contents [11 0 R 12 0 R 13 0 R 14 0 R 15 0 R 16 0 R 17 0 R 18 0 R 19 0 R 20 0 R] /Image46 37 0 R /F6 32 0 R >> The World Health Organization target is for states to have vaccinated 40% of their population by the end of 2021 and 70% by mid-2022. 43288. >> The coronavirus pandemic is the third great crisis of the 21st century, following the Sept. 11 terror attacks and the Global Financial Crisis. The world's response to Russia's aggression came swiftly with the EU, the U.S., and other major G-20 nations imposing a severe set of economic sanctions that . The EU implement its ban on Russian refined oil products, including diesel, raising the prospect of shortages due to low domestic production capabilities. If you are unsure about the meaning of any of the information provided, please consult your financial or other professional adviser. BLACKROCK is a trademark of BlackRock, Inc., or its subsidiaries in the United States and elsewhere. /F2 28 0 R Consequently, Russias authorities will grind their way through the early months of 2022 amid high COVID-19 case numbers and fatalities, as well as popular dissatisfaction over high inflation. /Image9 36 0 R In the EEA, professional clients, qualified clients, and qualified investors. /Font << In Hong Kong, this material is issued by BlackRock Asset Management North Asia Limited and has not been reviewed by the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong. In compiling a list of the top five geopolitically significant events of 2022, the top three were rather obvious Russia's invasion of Ukraine, China's military response to House Speaker Nancy. Top 10 Geopolitical Risks of 2022. Contrary to trend (and regional cooperation) sits Uruguay, which is seeking bilateral trade deals outside the Mercosur framework and testing the limits of South American cohesion. /F6 32 0 R After political parties failed to agree on the formation of the next government, the president scheduled another round of snap elections the fifth elections since April 2021. /F2 28 0 R The availability of booster jabs and anti-virals, to treat those admitted to hospital with COVID-19, will mark a further step on their route out of the pandemic. >> The main losers will be those most distant from demand centres in North America, Western Europe and East Asia. China has started to deleverage its property sector, and while this will eventually put the country on a more solid financial footing it will certainly result in weaker GDP growth. 2023 BlackRock, Inc. All rights reserved. is more powerful than usual. /Tabs /S MENA: Turkey's opposition alliance will discuss potential presidential candidates to run in the June general election. Meanwhile, decision-making is likely to slow as attention increasingly turns towards the elections. This comes as South Africa takes over chairmanship for the BRICS group of which these countries (along with India and Brazil) are members. In South Korea, this material is for distribution to the Qualified Professional Investors (as defined in the Financial Investment Services and Capital Market Act and its sub-regulations). Trade Register No. >> This event took place on 02/26/2023. On February 24 th, 2022, Russia launched an invasion of Ukraine, an act that has caused grievous loss of life, precipitated a humanitarian crisis, and sent shock waves through the world's economies. << Geopolitical Calendar | Control Risks Our Thinking Geopolitical calendar Geopolitical calendar Look ahead to the geopolitical events that will shape your world. We present a news-based measure of adverse geopolitical events and associated risks. /CS /DeviceRGB Countries governed by coalitions, in particular, could struggle under these pressures. /ExtGState << If these measures result in slower growth, Xi will not care. Neither the CMA or any other authority or regulator located in KSA has approved this information. Despite continued sparring with the US, 2022 should not be a year of crisis because of Chinas domestic agenda provided that the authorities in Taiwan do not provoke Beijings ire by taking steps towards declaring independence. It is the first meeting on the water security specifically since 1977. February 2022 County Sales and Price Activity (Regional and condo sales data not seasonally adjusted) February 2022. In the DIFC this material can be distributed in and from the Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC) by BlackRock Advisors (UK) Limited Dubai Branch which is regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA). Exploring the macro forces impacting trade, 2019 H1 Industry Data Snapshot + Analysis of the Economic Outlook for 2020. The Bank of Japan events shown are followed by the publication of the central banks outlook report. /Parent 2 0 R All other trademarks are those of their respective owners. Sales. /StructParents 9 /Group << Some states facing these threats could step away from full convertibility and embrace capital controls. January 26 Asia-Pacific: South Korea will release economic data for the fourth quarter of 2022, and it is expected to show a quarterly contraction. The economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Africa has been considerable and the path of recovery depends on maintaining the support of local, regional and international stakeholders. K2_Z4/A/jt@?^)99_mtLh6F451@4 r&e$G4 LjC0,H endobj Geopolitical contestations continued to sharpen in 2021 though there were some hopes of a positive turn after a truculent Trump administration led by the combative Republican President Donald Trump in the United States was succeeded by what was expected to be a milder Democrat President Joe Biden. >> Continuity and Change in the Rise of Brazil. 00796793. This edition of the BUlletin juxtaposes themes of change and disorder with the celebration of a number of institutional anniversaries, symbolic of endurance. 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